The annual unadjusted food inflation rate in the United States in November was 2.4%, and the previous value was 2.1%. The annual inflation rate of new cars in the United States in November was -0.7%, and the previous value was -1.3%. The annual unadjusted housing inflation rate in the United States in November was 4.7%, and the previous value was 4.9%.Analyst Kaye: Consumer energy prices rose slightly month by month in November, but dropped by more than 3% compared with the same period last year. The prices of all kinds of gasoline dropped by more than 8% year-on-year. According to the data of the Automobile Club of the American Automobile Association, the average price of gas stations has been falling in recent weeks, approaching the threshold of $3 per gallon.Treasury yields fell, while the Bloomberg dollar spot index erased gains.
Goldman Sachs: CPI clears the way for the Fed to cut interest rates next week. It is expected that the policy will be gradually relaxed in the future. Whitney Watson, an analyst at Goldman Sachs: Today's CPI data clears the way for next week's interest rate cut. After today's data is released, the Fed will start a "silent period", and they still have confidence in the process of anti-inflation. We believe that the Fed will further gradually relax monetary policy in the new year.CEO of Wells Fargo: Consumer loans will not be tightened again.Bureau of Labor Statistics: In November's inflation report, the housing index rose by 0.3%, accounting for nearly 40% of the growth of all projects in that month.
After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Ping An Property & Casualty Shanghai Branch responded with a fine: the internal accountability mechanism was started, and the rectification work was carried out. On December 11th, the ticket disclosed by Shanghai Supervision Bureau of the State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau showed that China Ping An Property Insurance Co., Ltd. Shanghai Branch was fined 730,000 yuan for entrusting an institution without legal qualification to engage in insurance sales activities, and compiling or providing false reports, statements, documents and materials. In this regard, Ping An Property & Casualty Shanghai Branch responded that the company completely obeyed the punishment decision of the regulatory authorities, and ordered the punished institutions to carefully analyze the causes of the problems found in the supervision at the first time, and started the internal accountability mechanism to pursue the relevant responsible persons. In response to the problems pointed out by the regulatory authorities, the relevant departments have been instructed to take the lead in organizing the relevant institutions to carry out rectification work, and to carry out self-examination and self-correction of related problems and centralized rectification work. (澎湃)After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13